BASE METALS

Falling copper inventories to boost price of red metal, says Jefferies

US investment bank underlines bullish view on copper

Staff reporter
US investment bank Jefferies sees copper prices rising further in 2020

US investment bank Jefferies sees copper prices rising further in 2020

Jefferies said satellite data showed finished copper inventories at Asian smelters had "significantly decreased" in 2020, while inventories at exchanges were also down.

"Inventories across tracked locations in Asia are down 15% year-to-date and should decrease further into year-end as the Chinese economy is reaccelerating following the Golden Week holidays," said Jefferies.

"Should inventory levels continue to decrease as Chinese demand stays strong and demand outside of China recovers, our and consensus copper price forecasts would likely be too low," said the New York-headquartered firm.

Jefferies recommended buying shares in copper miners Freeport McMoran and First Quantum Minerals to gain exposure to the red metal.

Jefferies has consistently repeated its bullish view on copper since the COVID-19 outbreak.

It said earlier this month the successful development of a vaccine coupled with reduced uncertainty following the US elections could release a wave of pent up macroeconomic demand, with base metals such as copper and nickel set to benefit as a result.

A growing series of reports, each focused on a key discussion point for the mining sector, brought to you by the Mining Journal Intelligence team.

A growing series of reports, each focused on a key discussion point for the mining sector, brought to you by the Mining Journal Intelligence team.

editions

ESG Mining Company Index: Benchmarking the Future of Sustainable Mining

The ESG Mining Company Index report provides an in-depth evaluation of ESG performance of 61 of the world's largest mining companies. Using a robust framework, it assesses each company across 9 meticulously weighted indicators within 6 essential pillars.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence Global Leadership Report 2024: Net Zero

Gain insights into decarbonisation trends and strategies from interviews with 20+ top mining executives and experts plus an industrywide survey.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence Project Pipeline Handbook 2024

View our 50 top mining projects, handpicked using a unique, objective selection process from a database of 450+ global assets.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence Investor Sentiment Report 2024

Survey revealing the plans, priorities, and preferences of 120+ mining investors and their expectations for the sector in 2024.