PRECIOUS METALS

Silver expected to shine this year

Silver Institute expects the grey metal to gain 13% to a six-year high in 2020

The Silver Institute expects silver to shine in 2020

The Silver Institute expects silver to shine in 2020

Silver prices currently trade at the lower end of the recent range at about $17.50/oz, having touched a 12-month high of $19.31 in August and a low of $14.38 in May.

In its 2020 market outlook, the institute said the precious metal experienced a notable improvement in investor sentiment in 2019, boosting the average annual price to its first increase in four years, up 4% to $16.21. Underpinning the price rise was a marked shift towards looser monetary policies, as concerns grew about the global economic outlook, exacerbated by the ongoing US-China trade war.

These macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties across critical economies were underpinning gold's price performance to date, however, ongoing concern about the global economy will have possible negative consequences for the industrial metals, and by extension, silver.

The weight of institutional money flowing into a relatively small market should prove sufficient for silver to outperform gold and could cause the gold:silver ratio to drop to the mid to high-70s later this year.

The Silver Institute believes macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions will remain broadly supportive for precious metals, encouraging investors to stay net buyers of silver overall, a development that should lift silver prices higher this year, according to the report. "However, there will be times when silver will have to contend with issues, such as the current health crisis in China, which could hit that country's economy hard."

The report expects mine supply to grow by 2% this year.

Growth in silver industrial offtake, accounting for just over half of total demand in 2019, is expected to resume at 3% in 2020, reversing two years of marginal losses. Weak economic conditions in China remain a headwind to industrial output.

In total, the silver market should see a surplus of 15 million ounces, "the lowest in five years".

 

A growing series of reports, each focused on a key discussion point for the mining sector, brought to you by the Mining Journal Intelligence team.

A growing series of reports, each focused on a key discussion point for the mining sector, brought to you by the Mining Journal Intelligence team.

editions

ESG Mining Company Index: Benchmarking the Future of Sustainable Mining

The ESG Mining Company Index report provides an in-depth evaluation of ESG performance of 61 of the world's largest mining companies. Using a robust framework, it assesses each company across 9 meticulously weighted indicators within 6 essential pillars.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence Global Leadership Report 2024: Net Zero

Gain insights into decarbonisation trends and strategies from interviews with 20+ top mining executives and experts plus an industrywide survey.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence Project Pipeline Handbook 2024

View our 50 top mining projects, handpicked using a unique, objective selection process from a database of 450+ global assets.

editions

Mining Journal Intelligence Investor Sentiment Report 2024

Survey revealing the plans, priorities, and preferences of 120+ mining investors and their expectations for the sector in 2024.